Here's some more information I pulled from the Goldman-Sachs newswire (I work in a brokerage, but I'm not a broker)...it answers some questions and provides some info not covered yet, and straightens out some speculation:
Six Flags; Another Strategic Off-Season Acquisition
Goldman, Sachs & Co. Investment Research
NOTE 7:09 AM January 11, 2001 ====================
25 Six Flags Inc. {PKS} $18.56
* Six Flags announced yesterday that it entered into an agreement to purchase Sea World of Ohio for $110 mm in cash. This will be partially financed through an issue of $175 mm in convertible preferred stock, which the company announced concurrently. Over the last month, PKS has acquired three parks for an aggregate price of about $140 mm. Based on PKS's current multiple and our target multiple, these deals appear modestly accretive from a valuation standpoint. Pending the closing of the deals, we will adjust our estimates accordingly. We continue to rate PKS a market outperformer.
* SEA WORLD OHIO. Sea World Ohio is a 232 acre marine wildlife park, which operates adjacent to Six Flags Ohio. Six Flags agreed to acquire the park for $110 mm in cash from Anheuser-Busch. Management stated that they intend to drive attendance and capture significant revenue synergies through joint marketing and ticketing of the two parks. We would also expect significant cost efficiencies through running the two parks as one asset. Management indicated that the park will retain the Sea World brand for the upcoming season, but carry the Six Flags brand thereafter. PKS also owns a hotel and campground on the property, as well as the lake which separates the two parks. Management's goal is to ultimately create a regional destination theme park. We expect the deal to close by the second week in February.
* THREE ACQUISITIONS. Management stated that in 2000 the three parks had aggregate attendance of 2.9 mm, revenues of $79 mm, and EBITDA of about $17 mm. Although the company did not break financials out by individual park, we estimate that the Seattle park, Le Ronde, and Sea World had 2000 attendance of 500k, 1.1 mm, and 1.4 mm, revenues of $10 mm, $15-20 mm, and $45-50 mm, and EBITDA of about $3.7 mm, $3.2 mm, and about $10 mm, respectively. Going into 2001, we believe the three parks will generate about $20 mm in EBITDA.
* VALUATION. Based on our current estimates, PKS is selling at 8.2x and 7.1x 2001 and 2002 EBITDA, respectively. Beginning in 2001, PKS should begin to generate significant free cash flow. However, we believe the stock price momentum will be governed by the tone of the operating season, which is several months away.