Meangene, not to be a stickler, but the debt isn't why EBITDA is so bad right now. EBITDA excludes the interest payment on debt (hence, the "I"). EBITDA is down because the parks are struggling this season -- and last season was no picnic.
And Nate's right in that the company is making enough in cash flow to make its regular debt payments and that it hasn't made any public statements about selling off any properties.
However, last month S&P noted that it might downgrade the company's credit rating. It may not seem like much now, but the next time that Six Flags needs to pay off debt by issuing new debt, if it's at a lower credit rating the company will have to pay higher rates than before (assuming constant interest rates -- obviously, hypothetical).
So Six Flags has no intention of selling any of its parks but isn't a lot of the company's properties -- even its smaller parks -- sitting on some sweet real estate? I've never been to SFKK but supposedly it's right next to the airport. That's got to be worth a lot more money to a real estate developer than it is to Six Flags as an amusement park. So if the company does sell it won't be whether or not one park is the top performer or not as much as the difference between the discounted cash flows and net present values of what the park could make by selling the property now over the stream of potential park profits.
Selling a park or two in the offseason to generate cash WOULD make Moody's and S&P consider upgrading the company's credit rating. I seriously doubt that if a developer came up with a great offer for any property, especially one that is not much of a factor for the company, that Six Flags wouldn't consider it. By distributing the rides to the existing stateside parks it would be able to give most parks something new at a fraction of the cap ex it would normally sum up.
There has been talk about dumping parks for a few years now within the company, and the pathetic performances by some parks with big expectations only intensifies it. For full time park employees to think that their park may be on the market says a lot about the situation.
I don't think people realize how messed up this chain is internally.
-Nate (who thanks GP for the support :) )
Thanks,
That one guy
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my signature was more than three lines so it got edited by a moderator!my signature was more than three lines so it got edited by a moderator!my signature was more than three lines so it got edited by a moderator!my signature was more than three lines so it got edited by a moderator!
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Is that a Q-bot in your pocket or are you just happy to see me?
Also why wouldn't someone worry about SF folding when their stocks is worth dam near nothing, their attendence is dropping, and their parks are utter hell holes. I can believe the weather is a cause of attendence drops at parks like CP, BGW, and parks like that, but I'm willing to bet money that if the US was having the best weather ever recorded, attendence would still be down at SF parks. The GP the Enthuiast and everyone else is getting fed up with SF crap and it's finnaly starting to catch up to them. If SF doesn't change the way it's parks are run they are going down !
Anyways maybe they will go down maybe they wont. All I know is who ever is spending their hard earned cash with SF inc. needs thier heads checked quickly. No coaster is good enough for me to keep enduring the crap SF dish out, half the time the main coaster(s) are closed anyway so theres just no point in spending my money at those SF hell holes.
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Is that a Q-bot in your pocket or are you just happy to see me?
Hmmmm, went to SFGAm (again), this last Friday. Park was crowded, park was clean, every coaster was open. Yep, a complete hellhole! I dont know why I keep going back. I cant understand why the backlot was filled with cars. What are these fools thinking? Just shut the Chicago area park down because SF is running it into the ground.
Sarcasm was presented in this statement
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Arena football has arrived in the Windy City. Go "Chicago Rush"
*** This post was edited by Chitown 8/11/2003 10:43:12 PM ***
Chitown said:
Sarcasm was presented in this statement
I don't get it. OMFG d00dz SF SUX!!!!11
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Is that a Q-bot in your pocket or are you just happy to see me?
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NICK
Drop it like it's hot and be my bloody wonderwall, baby
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I'd rather be in my boat with a drink on the rocks,
than in the drink with a boat on the rocks.
Nasty, rabbit pellet, wanna-be ice cream that absolutely su---: Ooops, sorry, got carried away. ;)
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Arena football has arrived in the Windy City. Go "Chicago Rush"
Especially if it is being sold at Six Flags.;) What a horrible horrible company. I hear that their management eats babies for fun.
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As Mitch always said, "A severed foot is the ultimate stocking stuffer."
-Tomas
Great Adventure is the SF park I visit most, and I have a good visit every time. All of the coasters are pretty much always open, and actually I think the park operations have improved the past few years. While I do agree about the prices being high, I don't see SF prices being any higher overall, then Cedar Fair parks, or any other chain. Prices are high at any amusement park.
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