Cedar Fair revenue and attendance down slightly through July 8

Posted | Contributed by Jeff

From the press release:

Cedar Fair Entertainment Company (NYSE: FUN), a leader in regional amusement parks, water parks and immersive entertainment, today reported preliminary net revenues through July 8, 2018, of approximately $563 million, on 11.1 million guest visits, average in-park per capita spending of $45.87 and out-of-park revenues of $70 million. This period represents approximately 40% of the Company's total operating days for 2018.

When compared with the same period a year ago, net revenues were down 2%, or $10 million, the result of a 3%, or 314,000-visit, decrease in attendance. This was partially offset by a 3%, or $2 million, increase in out-of-park revenues, including resort accommodations, and a slight increase in average in-park per capita spending when compared with the same period last year.

Cedar Fair's President and CEO Richard Zimmerman said, "We came into this year with a clear focus on enhancing the guest experience and a business plan designed to drive additional attendance, especially in the second half of the year which includes the peak vacation months of July and August and the expansion of our WinterFest events in November and December. Although early-season attendance at our seasonal parks through this past weekend has not met our expectations, we are encouraged by the positive guest response to our new rides and attractions, in particular our new coasters Steel Vengeance at Cedar Point and Hang Time at Knott's Berry Farm. We are also pleased with the growth of in-park guest spending where we are seeing year-over-year increases in food, merchandise and extra charge attractions."

Zimmerman noted that the strong attendance and revenue trends that Knott's Berry Farm produced in the first quarter have continued through the July 4th holiday weekend. He also added that Cedar Fair's out-of-park revenues have continued to perform well. "Demand within our resort properties has been very strong, particularly at Cedar Point, where we recently opened a new 158-room tower at the historic Hotel Breakers located on the park's mile-long beach," he said. "We believe this demand will continue as advanced reservations at our resort accommodations for the second half of the year are up when compared with the same period in 2017. The expansion of our resort facilities will be a key driver of increased revenues over the long-term as we open additional hotels adjacent to Carowinds in Charlotte, North Carolina, in late 2019, and Canada's Wonderland, near Toronto, in 2020."

Virtually all of Cedar Fair's revenues from its seasonal amusement parks and water parks are realized during a 130- to 140-day operating period beginning in early May, with the major portion concentrated in the peak vacation months of July and August. In addition, fourth-quarter revenues have grown in recent years with the introduction and expansion of popular events and activities such as Halloween-related attractions and WinterFest celebrations. Only Knott's Berry Farm is open year-round and it operates at its highest level of attendance in the fiscal third quarter.

"We believe the positive guest response to our new attractions and offerings, as emphasized by this year's high guest satisfaction ratings, combined with the continued growth in advance purchases and lengthened seasons at many of our parks, will provide the momentum needed to increase attendance and drive additional guest spending in the second half of the year," added Zimmerman. He also noted that the Company anticipates 2018 full-year net revenues to be in the range of $1.34 billion and $1.38 billion, and full-year Adjusted EBITDA1 to be in the range of $475 million to $495 million.

"Although we've seen some early-season margin compression as a result of the attendance shortfalls and previously discussed labor cost pressure, our long-term strategy continues to produce a significant amount of free cash flow. As such, we remain committed to a steady 4% increase in our annual distribution rate going forward," concluded Zimmerman.

The Company will provide additional information regarding net revenues, operating costs and cash flows when it announces second-quarter results on Wednesday, August 1, 2018.

Read the entire release from Cedar Fair.

GooDFeLLoW's avatar

I wish they would release individual park attendance trends; I am super curious where my home park CGA stands. It seems to be doing much better than last year in terms of attendance, just from my observations. I would guess that is because of Railblazer, and new shows and events already this year. But of course CGA probably has the least impact of all the CF parks, so it would only nominally affect overall numbers.

hambone's avatar

Jeff, if more people are staying in the hotels, and fewer people are day visitors, wouldn't that be consistent with the idea that people are traveling to destinations more - i.e., more people are making a "destination" trip to Cedar Point this year? (I'm not really buying that as the reason, but it doesn't seem inconsistent to me.)

I would think the issues with SVen* can't help. Enough to move the bar? I don't know. But if early season visitors are reporting long lines and downtime for the flagship addition at the flagship park, that can't be *good* for business.

Anyway, I am making my destination visit - first in almost 20 years! - at the end of the month, so I'll report back. (On that note, what does Breakers West mean? I can't find anything on the website that explains.)

*as I will insist on calling him; the ride is clearly CP's answer to Frozen.

I think Breakers West is probably the new wing that opened this year. Breakers East is at the other end closer to Corkscrew. Breakers Tower is the 10 story tower. And then there's the Rotunda section. Not sure what else it would be. I think the basic rooms are all pretty similar nomatter the section.


-Matt

I don't think having one train ops for Steel Vengeance in May and a few days of near total downtime are going to have the impact you think. When I have gone this season, many people simply comment that "Mean Streak got redone".

I agree with your comment on SV. Just came back yesterday, usually the weekend after the 7/4 is always a ghost town since families have just spent money and vacation time for the Hoilday. MF was a 10 minute wait and Maverick about 20 minutes. Conversed with many people in line saying they've been discouraged to come to CP for SV because of the reported accident and long wait times.

Jeff said:

Remember during the recession that they did say they felt they were getting something of a bump from people who might otherwise spend on big destination trips. It's feasible the reverse could be true, but it wouldn't align with this release that indicates more out-of-park (hotel) spending.

I could be wrong, but I seem to remember the parks struggling and innovation slowing down during the recession and in the lagging years following. I think that parks have been booming over the last 5-6 years too. I can see your point that most "normal" people don't see going to parks as something that they'd do on vacation, but I think its still considered to be discretionary spending. Consumers and families will spend more when they have more in their pockets.

Dale K's avatar

Jeff said:

Remember during the recession that they did say they felt they were getting something of a bump from people who might otherwise spend on big destination trips. It's feasible the reverse could be true, but it wouldn't align with this release that indicates more out-of-park (hotel) spending.

My not even close to expert opinion about the hotels is that cedar fair is adding more rooms every year. People may being going to the park just one day now and then spending the next day at the beach. Ouimet did a very nice job getting Breakers back up to a nice hotel, he also cleaned up the beach and made it a lot more appealing then in years past.

Honestly though we seem to be thinking Cedar Point attendance may be down when I don't think that"s the case. They got a hell of a new ride, thats what I hear anyways, but i think Kings Island would have more of a drop off in attendance. They got a smoke house, I am no expert but that doesn't seem like a ticket seller this year.

i think it is because..

1) The weather (to hot this year)

2} Great economy vs a good econmy

3) Its just happens sometimes in any industry

Here's the thing guys: revenues don't matter. What matter is net income... or "profit." If revenue dips by 2%, but expenses are cut by 5%, there's a good chance that you've increased your profit. And really, if you're talking about a publicly traded company, what matters is the impact on stock value, which is a whole other animal.

The article didn't mention the effect on net income. Its possible (thinking optimistically) that CF has made decisions to cut out less profitable patrons, and focused more on profitable patrons. But who knows, I'd have to really get under the hood to make a decision. I think that 2-3% just isn't really significantly enough to draw conclusions from.

Jeff's avatar

Uh, no one wants declining revenue. It's a possible indicator of reduced demand, poor pricing strategy or the zombie apocalypse.


Jeff - Editor - CoasterBuzz.com - My Blog

I went to Cedar Point on Friday, June 29 and Kings Island on Saturday June 30. The only ride that had longer than a 10 minute wait was Steel Vengeance, even that was only 40 minutes in the afternoon. We bought Fastlane for Kings Island anticipating large Saturday crowds and had buyers remorse the whole day.

To be fair Cedar Point Shores and Soak City were incredibly crowded both days because it was 95 degrees.

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